Recent COVID-19 papers:

Popular Press:
Opinion: Why distancing and handwashing won't stop the spread of COVID-19 in schools, The Guardian

Opinion: England's New Measures Aren't Enough to Prevent Soaring Covid-19 infections, The Guardian

The Sturgis Bike Rally Did Not Cause 266,796 Cases of COVID-19. Slate

Academic Papers:
Dowd, JB., Rotondi V, Adriano L, Brazel DM, Block P, Ding X, Liu Y and Mills MC (2020).
Demographic science aids in understanding the spread and fatality rates of COVID-19." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2004911117

Version with Extended Supplemental Materials: medRxiv:
https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.15.20036293

Block, P, Hoffman M, Raabe IJ, Dowd JB, Rahal C, Kashyap R and Mills MC) (2020). Social network-based distancing strategies to flatten the COVID 19 curve in a post-lockdown world. Nature Human Behavior https://www.nature.com/articles/s41562-020-0898-6

Aburto, J. M., Kashyap, R., Scholey, J., Angus, C., Ermisch, J., Mills, M., & Dowd, J. B. (2020). Estimating the burden of COVID-19 on mortality, life expectancy and lifespan inequality in England and Wales: A population-level study. medRxiv.

Dowd, J. B., Andriano, L., Brazel, D. M., Rotondi, V., Block, P., Ding, X., & Mills, M. C. (2020). Reply to Nepomuceno et al.: A renewed call for detailed social and demographic COVID-19 data from all countries. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 117(25), 13884-13885.

Aburto, J. M., Kashyap, R., Scholey, J., Angus, C., Ermisch, J., Mills, M., & Dowd, J. B. (2020). Estimating the burden of COVID-19 on mortality, life expectancy and lifespan inequality in England and Wales: A population-level study. medRxiv.

Rose, N., Manning, N., Bentall, R., Bhui, K., Burgess, R., Carr, S., Cornish, F., Devakumar, D., Dowd, J.B., Ecks, S. and Faulkner, A., 2020. The social underpinnings of mental distress in the time of COVID-19–time for urgent action. Wellcome open research, 5.

Verhagen, M. D., Brazel, D. M., Dowd, JB., Kashnitsky, I., & Mills, M. (2020). Forecasting spatial, socioeconomic and demographic variation in COVID-19 health care demand
in England and Wale. BMC Medicine

Gaye, B., Khoury, S., Cene, C.W., Kingue, S., N’Guetta, R., Lassale, C., Baldé, D., Diop, I.B., Dowd, J.B., Mills, M.C. and Jouven, X., 2020. Socio-demographic and epidemiological consideration of Africa’s COVID-19 response: what is the possible pandemic course?. Nature Medicine, pp.1-4.

Rotondi, V, Andriano L, Dowd JB & Mills MC. (2020). Early evidence that social distancing and public health interventions flattened the COVID-19 curve in Italy. https://osf.io/preprints/wah4e

Selected Press Coverage:

• How many people has the coronavirus killed? Nature
• New Zealand's "Bubble Concept" is slowly letting people socialize again. Would it Work in America? Slate

• Italian coronavirus pressures and flattening the curve- an epidemiology expert explains, Word Economic Forum
• Are adults living with parents making the pandemic more deadly? New York Times
• Why the Coronavirus Hit Italy So Hard, Wired
• You Should Already Be in Lockdown, The Atlantic
• Why social distancing might last for some time, BBC Future
• Social distancing works but epidemic influenced by demographics, Euronews
• Lockdown of Recovering Italian Town Shows Effectiveness of Early Action, Wall Street Journal
• Coronavirus: UK's 'hospital deserts' that could be overwhelmed by cases, Sky news
• The Coronavirus is Sending Lots of Younger People to the Hospital, Buzzfeed

Full list of publications:

Google Scholar

Please contact me directly if you would like a copy of an article not available on-line.